Premier League Predictions 1.11.25
These are the StrikeEngine FPL Premier League Predictions for 1.11.25, 2 & 3.11.25. Results based on Premier League Prediction tool here.
Recap
A quick recap of how the tool has done so far.
GW9 50% results accuracy. 20% score accuracy, 20% accuracy number of goals in game.
GW8 40% results accuracy, 0% score accuracy, 30% accuracy number of goals in game.
GW10 Premier League Predictions (1.11.25-3.11.25)
| Home Team | Away Team | Home xG | Away xG | Home xG Adj | Away xG Adj | Non Adj Pred | Adj Pred | H/A Raw | H/A Pred | Final Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | Leeds | 1.56 | 1.33 | 2.21 | 0.68 | 1-1 | 2-0 | 2.88-0.68 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Burnley | Arsenal | 0.83 | 1.83 | -0.65 | 3.32 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 0.47-1.18 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Crystal Palace | Brentford | 1.44 | 1.28 | 1.77 | 0.95 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2.26-0.97 | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Fulham | Wolves | 1.56 | 1.17 | 2.35 | 0.37 | 1-1 | 2-0 | 3.51-0.22 | 3-0 | 3-0 |
| Nott’m Forest | Man Utd | 1.06 | 1.78 | 0.47 | 2.37 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0.81-2.23 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Spurs | Chelsea | 1.56 | 1.33 | 0.85 | 2.04 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0.79-2.81 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Liverpool | Aston Villa | 1.33 | 1.28 | 1.7 | 0.91 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1.53-0.89 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| West Ham | Newcastle | 0.83 | 1.61 | 0.06 | 2.38 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0.66-0.95 | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Man City | Bournemouth | 1.56 | 1.28 | 1.96 | 0.88 | 1-1 | 2-0 | 2.84-1.09 | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Sunderland | Everton | 1.28 | 0.89 | 1.64 | 0.52 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 2.41-0.57 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
Brighton Leeds
Consensus for a 2-0 Brighton win. Tending towards Brighton 3 goals, 3-0.
Burnley Arsenal
Conflict between the tools. 0-3 for “Adj Pred” and 0-1 for “H/A Pred”. Arsenal not scoring so much away. I think the trend is to go to H/A this week so 0-1.
Palace Brentford
Again conflict between tools and again tend towards H/A prediction is this weeks strategy so 2-1.
Fulham Wolves
More conflict, HA says solid 3-0
Forest Man U
Consensus of 0-2. Man U average points away but hardest away fixtures so far.
Spurs Chelsea
Spurs below average points at home and third easiest fixtures at home. In short, Spurs not great at home. Chelsea high points per game away, but easy fixtures away. Away win 0-2.
Liverpool Villa
Liverpool strong at home, Villa not bad away. Conflict between the tools. But HA close to predicting goal for Villa. Adj tool predicts goal for Villa. In which case 1-1.
West Ham Newcastle
West Ham hardest home fixtures and no points at home. Newcastle below average points away but hardest fixtures so far. Conflict between tools, 0-2 vs 0-1. Newcastle low scoring away from home but tough opposition. West Ham leaky at home against tough opposition. I think 0-2 has to be the choice.
Man City Bournemouth
Bournemouth average away, Man City good at home. Conflict between tools 2-0 vs 2-1. We’re tending towards H/A this week so 2-1.
Sunderland Everton
Sunderland 2nd points at home but also second easiest fixtures. Everton below average points away and below average difficulty. Sunderland scoring and not conceding. Everton the opposite. Conflict between tools but H/A says 2-0 which seems solid.
Premier League 1.11.25 – Summary
Tools are predicting more one sided matches this week vs last and slightly more goals as well. Taking what we learnt from last week’s predictions, this week I’m leaning more towards the H/A prediction and predicted goals of .9 or more count as one goal this week. Let’s see what happens!
